Murders Up 28% in 2020 in 59 Sampled Cities
09/29/2020
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From the New York Times Upshot section:

Murders Are Rising. Blaming a Party Doesn’t Add Up.
The data reveals a different picture than the party-driven explanation President Trump and the Department of Justice have offered.

By Jeff Asher
Sept. 28, 2020

Jeff Asher is a crime analyst based in New Orleans and co-founder of AH Datalytics. You can follow him on Twitter at @Crimealytics.

By the way, Mr. and Mrs. Asher have infant triplets.

… Over all, in 59 cities with murder data available through at least July this year, murder is up 28 percent relative to the matching time frame in 2019. …

Big cities tend to overstate national crime trends, so a smaller rise in murder would be expected nationally, but a 15 percent increase in murders nationally in 2020 would be the largest one-year increase in modern American history in terms of both raw numbers and percent change (reliable data on national murder trends began in 1960).

Murder started rising after the emergence of Black Lives Matter at Ferguson in August 2014, but then dropped a little after Trump’s election, only to surge after BLM returned with a vengeance in the Summer of George.

When Black Lives Matter is riding high, blacks shoot each other more.

Here’s my sort of Jeff Asher’s spreadsheet of murders in 59 reporting cities through various dates in September compared to 2019. Some interesting cities, such as Pittsburgh and Memphis, are missing, but overall it’s a pretty good tabulation.

City 2019 2020 Change
All Reported Cities 3905 5003 28%
Lubbock 9 22 144%
Milwaukee 66 134 103%
Fort Wayne 13 24 85%
Minneapolis 32 57 78%
Riverside 7 12 71%
Louisville 62 104 68%
Toledo 22 36 64%
Fort Worth 31 49 58%
Colorado Springs 14 22 57%
Lexington 16 25 56%
Aurora 15 23 53%
New Orleans 87 133 53%
Boston 30 45 50%
Chicago 374 560 50%
Denver 43 63 47%
Arlington 13 19 46%
Austin 23 33 43%
Atlanta 69 97 41%
San Bernardino 25 35 40%
New York 236 327 39%
St Louis 136 185 36%
Nashville 54 73 35%
Cincinnati 54 73 35%
Greensboro 30 40 33%
Indianapolis 98 129 32%
Houston 176 229 30%
Philadelphia 243 315 30%
Cleveland 88 114 30%
Miami 60 77 28%
Sacramento 18 23 28%
Kansas City 113 144 27%
Tulsa 37 47 27%
Oakland 52 66 27%
Seattle 23 29 26%
San Antonio 66 83 26%
San Diego 24 30 25%
Detroit 187 230 23%
San Francisco 23 27 17%
Jacksonville 93 108 16%
Charlotte 73 84 15%
Portland 22 25 14%
Los Angeles 197 223 13%
Washington 126 140 11%
Stockton 28 31 11%
Bakersfield 27 29 7%
Long Beach 18 19 6%
Omaha 23 24 4%
Dallas 151 157 4%
Las Vegas 64 64 0%
Lincoln 4 4 0%
Plano 1 1 0%
Baltimore 247 240 -3%
San Jose 24 21 -13%
Newark 37 31 -16%
Durham 22 18 -18%
Oklahoma City 39 31 -21%
Virginia Beach 9 6 -33%
Chula Vista 11 7 -36%
Anchorage 20 6 -70%

These are pretty awful numbers in BLM cities like Minneapolis (+78%), Milwaukee (+103%), Louisville (+68%), and Atlanta (+41%), slightly less awful in Antifa cities like Seattle (+26%) and Portland (+14%).

[Comment at Unz.com]

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