Western elites are once again accelerating the Great Replacement (legally!)

Cross-posted from White Papers Substack

In a series of 10 votes on Wednesday (April 11th, 2024) the European Parliament approved the long contentious Migration and Asylum Pact, which has been a decade in the making. The raft of measures is designed to force solidarity on member states, redistribute migrants from countries struggling with their arrival, and ensure that the European Union can override member state policy during emergency situations.

But with a record number of migrants arriving on Europe’s shores and national populations voting in an increasingly nationalist direction, it is likely that the pact will only be used to force ever larger populations of foreigners on the white nations of Europe.

It is further worth mentioning that the pact acts as an addition to the raft of policy changes that member state governments are making to enhance both legal migration and irregular arrivals. It also fits with the political declarations of many national elites that they would prefer more migrant arrivals, mostly for “economic” reasons.

See Demographic Replacement—Legally!,  White-Papers, July 18, 2023

The Details and Current Situation:

Relocations:

Under the new solidarity framework member states will be required to agree to take asylum seekers from other E.U. states which declare themselves to be “under migratory pressures.” States that do not wish to take asylum seekers have the option to refuse but will be required to contribute financially to the maintenance of asylum seekers in the rest of the E.U., to the tune of roughly 20,000 euros per refused asylee.

Funds will also be redirected to ongoing search and rescue operations and to E.U. border security operations.

It is worth noting that the European Union has attacked its own border agency, Frontex, and called on its executive to resign over allegations that the agency was pushing migrants back and preventing them from landing in Europe. This makes it clear that, much like DHS in the United States, Frontex exists to facilitate the arrival of foreigners rather than to keep Europeans safe.

Crisis Rules:

The Migration Pact goes further by establishing a set of crisis criteria that will enable the European Union to enact measures such as granting certain foreign nations prima facie protection—protection without proper review. A set of derogations will also be put in place that will exclude families, vulnerable persons, and children under the age of 12 from the border procedure process. This means that these random arrivals will not be properly fingerprinted and processed, and simply allowed into the European Union.

Now it is worth adding that the European Union is already in a new migrant crisis. The Centre for Migration Policy Development (ICMPD) is expecting migration to Europe to increase drastically in 2024.

Between 2022 and 2023 asylum applications increased by 21.2%, to well over a million people. Most of these asylum claimants are unskilled non-white immigrants moving for economic reasons, not out of fear for their lives.

Hundreds of thousands of so-called asylum seekers originate from India, Pakistan, China, Colombia and Venezuela, countries that are at peace and distant from Europe.

It is likely that the irregular immigration figures for 2024 will surpass 2015—the year the migrant crisis peaked—and initiate a new migrant crisis on the continent.

Border Procedures and Screening:

Migrants who arrive at the E.U.’s external borders but do not fit prima facie criteria for protection will go through a series of checks over seven days. These checks will include the collection of biometric data, health and vulnerability screening, security checks, and criminal records searches of extant E.U. databases.

Unaccompanied minors will always be allowed to apply for international protection. This even though migrants regularly lie about their age and in some years more than half of “unaccompanied minors” have turned out to be grown adults.

Africans 'lie about their age to stay in Europe' https://t.co/dt6VN7RUQM pic.twitter.com/qRVJHxESaX

— The Times and The Sunday Times (@thetimes) April 12, 2016

The Council of Europe directs member states to accept any claim of minor status and to proceed as though it were truthful until evidence can be found to establish the asylum applicant is lying.

Faster Asylum Procedures:

Under the new Migration Pact member states will be required to approve or deny protection for asylum applicants swiftly. The E.U. directs member states to establish a six-month goal for making their first decision on the status of an asylum applicant.

However, this change will not fundamentally alter the state of migration into the European Union. First-instance applications are accepted at a rate of 46%, while second-instance or higher applications and appeals are accepted at a rate of roughly 34%. And while a majority of migrants are allowed to remain in Europe formally, informally nearly all arrivals are allowed to establish themselves on the European continent, with the deportation rate of failed asylum seekers standing at a dismal 24%.

Conclusion:

While there are other smaller parts of the Pact, such as a voluntary mechanism for member states to take United Nations–approved refugees from third countries, the main body of the agreement is quite clear. No serious action will be taken to strengthen border enforcement, increase deportations, or ensure that Europeans are a secure demographic in their own countries. Instead, the European Union is merely formalizing and unifying the asylum system in its usual bureaucratic manner.

In our next piece, we will outline what a real pact, designed to increase deportations, facilitate repatriation, and protect external boundaries, would look like.

James Karlsson (email him) is the founder and director of the White-Papers Policy Institute. Read them on Substack, follow them on Twitter, and message them on Telegram.